Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York's structural Democratic voter registration advantage and the party's strong performance in statewide races since 2002. Hochul secured her party's nomination without a contested primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Blakeman consolidated Republican support following Elise Stefanik's earlier exit. Siena and other surveys from spring 2026 show her support in the high 40s against his low-to-mid 30s, with independents breaking in her favor and limited movement in head-to-head matchups. Traders price the Democrat outcome at 87% in line with these trends and historical base rates for incumbents in heavily Democratic states, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Nueva York
$77,782 Vol.
$77,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
87%
Republicano
12%
$77,782 Vol.
$77,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$37,189 Vol.
87%
Republicano
$40,593 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York's structural Democratic voter registration advantage and the party's strong performance in statewide races since 2002. Hochul secured her party's nomination without a contested primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Blakeman consolidated Republican support following Elise Stefanik's earlier exit. Siena and other surveys from spring 2026 show her support in the high 40s against his low-to-mid 30s, with independents breaking in her favor and limited movement in head-to-head matchups. Traders price the Democrat outcome at 87% in line with these trends and historical base rates for incumbents in heavily Democratic states, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volumen
$77,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York's structural Democratic voter registration advantage and the party's strong performance in statewide races since 2002. Hochul secured her party's nomination without a contested primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Blakeman consolidated Republican support following Elise Stefanik's earlier exit. Siena and other surveys from spring 2026 show her support in the high 40s against his low-to-mid 30s, with independents breaking in her favor and limited movement in head-to-head matchups. Traders price the Democrat outcome at 87% in line with these trends and historical base rates for incumbents in heavily Democratic states, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$77,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Hochul holds a consistent double-digit lead in recent polling against Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman, reflecting New York's structural Democratic voter registration advantage and the party's strong performance in statewide races since 2002. Hochul secured her party's nomination without a contested primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Blakeman consolidated Republican support following Elise Stefanik's earlier exit. Siena and other surveys from spring 2026 show her support in the high 40s against his low-to-mid 30s, with independents breaking in her favor and limited movement in head-to-head matchups. Traders price the Democrat outcome at 87% in line with these trends and historical base rates for incumbents in heavily Democratic states, though the race remains subject to shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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