Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte maintains a strong lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent polls, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 71% to win the New Hampshire gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Ayotte ahead 47%-39% among likely voters, with her holding a positive favorability rating and majority support from independents, while 47% of respondents lacked enough information on Warmington to opine. Earlier Saint Anselm College polling in March confirmed similar double-digit margins, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge and no-sales-tax pledge amid the September 8 primaries. No major shifts have occurred in the past week, though Democratic primary dynamics could influence the matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Republicano
71%

Demócrata
27%

Republicano
71%

Demócrata
27%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte maintains a strong lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent polls, fueling trader consensus pricing Republicans at 71% to win the New Hampshire gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026. A University of New Hampshire survey from April 17-21 showed Ayotte ahead 47%-39% among likely voters, with her holding a positive favorability rating and majority support from independents, while 47% of respondents lacked enough information on Warmington to opine. Earlier Saint Anselm College polling in March confirmed similar double-digit margins, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge and no-sales-tax pledge amid the September 8 primaries. No major shifts have occurred in the past week, though Democratic primary dynamics could influence the matchup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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