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Geopolítica·Irán

¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?

icon for ¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?
Geopolítica·Irán

¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?

Sí

8% probabilidad
Polymarket

$17,070 Vol.

Sí

8% probabilidad
Polymarket

$17,070 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to Nechirvan Barzani remaining Kurdistan Regional Government President, reflecting his continued active leadership amid regional tensions without any resignation announcements or succession moves. In the past month, Barzani has reaffirmed KRG neutrality in Iran-related conflicts and escalation risks, engaged Syrian Democratic Forces commander Mazloum Abdi, stressed ceasefire adherence between US and Iraqi forces, and held recent discussions with US leaders including Congressman Abraham Hamadeh on stability. A late-March drone attack on his Erbil residence drew international condemnation from the US and Turkey but did not disrupt his duties. Absent parliamentary elections or constitutional term limits triggering replacement post-2024 polls, his position appears secure barring unforeseen health or political crises.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$17,070
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus assigns a 92.5% implied probability to Nechirvan Barzani remaining Kurdistan Regional Government President, reflecting his continued active leadership amid regional tensions without any resignation announcements or succession moves. In the past month, Barzani has reaffirmed KRG neutrality in Iran-related conflicts and escalation risks, engaged Syrian Democratic Forces commander Mazloum Abdi, stressed ceasefire adherence between US and Iraqi forces, and held recent discussions with US leaders including Congressman Abraham Hamadeh on stability. A late-March drone attack on his Erbil residence drew international condemnation from the US and Turkey but did not disrupt his duties. Absent parliamentary elections or constitutional term limits triggering replacement post-2024 polls, his position appears secure barring unforeseen health or political crises.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$17,070
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 1:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nechirvan Barzani ceases to be the President of the Kurdistan Regional Government for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Barzani’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nechirvan Barzani and the Kurdistan Regional Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Nechirvan Barzani fuera como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" ha generado $17.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" es "¿Nechirvan Barzani fuera como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" con solo 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Nechirvan Barzani como presidente del Gobierno Regional del Kurdistán?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.