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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

icon for Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Petro - Colombia President 19%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 17%

Starmer - UK PM 16%

Abbas - President of Palestine 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Petro - Colombia President 19%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 17%

Starmer - UK PM 16%

Abbas - President of Palestine 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Petro - Colombia President

$179 Vol.

27%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$199 Vol.

17%

Starmer - UK PM

$501 Vol.

16%

Abbas - President of Palestine

$150 Vol.

25%

None before 2027

$865 Vol.

7%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$173 Vol.

14%

Trump - USA President

$323 Vol.

6%

Putin - Russia President

$107 Vol.

6%

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

$123 Vol.

6%

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$112 Vol.

5%

Macron - France President

$123 Vol.

8%

Milei - Argentina President

$112 Vol.

20%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$123 Vol.

20%

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$112 Vol.

11%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$112 Vol.

18%

Albanese - Australia PM

$112 Vol.

20%

Newsom - California Governor

$123 Vol.

12%

Lecornu - France PM

$112 Vol.

21%

Takaichi - Japan PM

$112 Vol.

19%

Merz - German Chancellor

$112 Vol.

12%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$112 Vol.

16%

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

$112 Vol.

16%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$93 Vol.

6%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$112 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Colombia President Gustavo Petro highest at 28% as the next listed leader to exit power before 2027, but Palestine President Mahmoud Abbas (23%), France Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu (21.6%), Syria President Ahmed al-Sharaa (21.5%), and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (20.3%) remain tightly clustered amid comparable near-term risks from term limits, health concerns, governmental fragility, and wartime uncertainties. Abbas's January hospital visit for routine tests at age 90 and October succession decree naming a deputy signal potential abrupt transition; Lecornu's October resignation after 26 days and narrow no-confidence survival highlight France's unstable coalition parliament; al-Sharaa's transitional role faces post-Assad factional and external pressures despite sanctions relief; Petro nears his August 2026 term end following repeated cabinet crises. Escalating French no-confidence motions, Abbas health deterioration, Syrian instability, or Ukraine election timelines could widen leads.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,286
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Colombia President Gustavo Petro highest at 28% as the next listed leader to exit power before 2027, but Palestine President Mahmoud Abbas (23%), France Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu (21.6%), Syria President Ahmed al-Sharaa (21.5%), and Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (20.3%) remain tightly clustered amid comparable near-term risks from term limits, health concerns, governmental fragility, and wartime uncertainties. Abbas's January hospital visit for routine tests at age 90 and October succession decree naming a deputy signal potential abrupt transition; Lecornu's October resignation after 26 days and narrow no-confidence survival highlight France's unstable coalition parliament; al-Sharaa's transitional role faces post-Assad factional and external pressures despite sanctions relief; Petro nears his August 2026 term end following repeated cabinet crises. Escalating French no-confidence motions, Abbas health deterioration, Syrian instability, or Ukraine election timelines could widen leads.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$4,286
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 24 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Petro - Colombia President" con 27%, seguido de "Abbas - President of Palestine" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)", explora los 24 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)" es "Petro - Colombia President" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Abbas - President of Palestine" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.