White House confirmation of President Donald Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March due to the US-Iran war, anchors trader consensus, with May 13 now leading at 39.5% amid reports of potential itinerary adjustments for arrival timing and Eric Trump's inclusion. Recent developments, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit last week and China's new April trade rules restricting foreign supply chain shifts, heighten stakes for bilateral talks on tariffs, Taiwan, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. These factors explain May 14's 25% pricing, while 24.5% on no visit by May 31 reflects delay risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 40%
May 14 25%
No visit by May 31 24%
May 15 3.5%
$162,345 Vol.
$162,345 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
40%
May 14
25%
May 15
3%
May 16
2%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
2%
May 26
1%
May 27
1%
May 28
1%
May 29
1%
May 30
1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
24%
May 13 40%
May 14 25%
No visit by May 31 24%
May 15 3.5%
$162,345 Vol.
$162,345 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
40%
May 14
25%
May 15
3%
May 16
2%
May 17
1%
May 18
1%
May 19
1%
May 20
1%
May 21
1%
May 22
1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
1%
May 25
2%
May 26
1%
May 27
1%
May 28
1%
May 29
1%
May 30
1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
24%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...White House confirmation of President Donald Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March due to the US-Iran war, anchors trader consensus, with May 13 now leading at 39.5% amid reports of potential itinerary adjustments for arrival timing and Eric Trump's inclusion. Recent developments, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit last week and China's new April trade rules restricting foreign supply chain shifts, heighten stakes for bilateral talks on tariffs, Taiwan, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. These factors explain May 14's 25% pricing, while 24.5% on no visit by May 31 reflects delay risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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