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icon for Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

icon for Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

May 13 40%

May 14 25%

No visit by May 31 24%

May 15 3.5%

Polymarket

$162,345 Vol.

May 13 40%

May 14 25%

No visit by May 31 24%

May 15 3.5%

Polymarket

$162,345 Vol.

On or prior to May 1

$12,227 Vol.

<1%

May 2

$1,972 Vol.

<1%

May 3

$1,970 Vol.

<1%

May 4

$2,125 Vol.

<1%

May 5

$3,712 Vol.

<1%

May 6

$3,328 Vol.

<1%

May 7

$3,338 Vol.

<1%

May 8

$3,807 Vol.

<1%

May 9

$3,273 Vol.

1%

May 10

$2,879 Vol.

<1%

May 11

$3,121 Vol.

<1%

May 12

$3,560 Vol.

1%

May 13

$30,395 Vol.

40%

May 14

$10,347 Vol.

25%

May 15

$10,233 Vol.

3%

May 16

$4,866 Vol.

2%

May 17

$3,136 Vol.

1%

May 18

$3,162 Vol.

1%

May 19

$3,679 Vol.

1%

May 20

$4,368 Vol.

1%

May 21

$3,492 Vol.

1%

May 22

$3,205 Vol.

1%

May 23

$2,885 Vol.

<1%

May 24

$2,849 Vol.

1%

May 25

$3,561 Vol.

2%

May 26

$3,138 Vol.

1%

May 27

$2,856 Vol.

1%

May 28

$3,044 Vol.

1%

May 29

$2,988 Vol.

1%

May 30

$3,273 Vol.

1%

May 31

$3,208 Vol.

1%

No visit by May 31

$12,398 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Donald Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March due to the US-Iran war, anchors trader consensus, with May 13 now leading at 39.5% amid reports of potential itinerary adjustments for arrival timing and Eric Trump's inclusion. Recent developments, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit last week and China's new April trade rules restricting foreign supply chain shifts, heighten stakes for bilateral talks on tariffs, Taiwan, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. These factors explain May 14's 25% pricing, while 24.5% on no visit by May 31 reflects delay risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$162,345
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Donald Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March due to the US-Iran war, anchors trader consensus, with May 13 now leading at 39.5% amid reports of potential itinerary adjustments for arrival timing and Eric Trump's inclusion. Recent developments, including a Trump ally's preparatory visit last week and China's new April trade rules restricting foreign supply chain shifts, heighten stakes for bilateral talks on tariffs, Taiwan, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. These factors explain May 14's 25% pricing, while 24.5% on no visit by May 31 reflects delay risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$162,345
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump visit China on...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 32 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 13" con 40%, seguido de "May 14" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Trump visit China on...?" ha generado $162.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Trump visit China on...?", explora los 32 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will Trump visit China on...?" es "May 13" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 14" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump visit China on...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.