Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s on June 15, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 78-79°F. This range reflects the typical June diurnal cycle in South Florida's tropical monsoon climate, where high humidity and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 82°F provide a thermal buffer. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated near seasonal normals of 76-78°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence consensus from short-range ensembles ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 15 de junio?
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 48%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
67°F o menos
$421 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$212 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$22 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$16 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$19 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$59 Vol.
50%
80-81°F
$80 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$17 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$740 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s on June 15, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 78-79°F. This range reflects the typical June diurnal cycle in South Florida's tropical monsoon climate, where high humidity and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 82°F provide a thermal buffer. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated near seasonal normals of 76-78°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence consensus from short-range ensembles ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volumen
$1,976Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s on June 15, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 78-79°F. This range reflects the typical June diurnal cycle in South Florida's tropical monsoon climate, where high humidity and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 82°F provide a thermal buffer. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated near seasonal normals of 76-78°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence consensus from short-range ensembles ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,976Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami points to an overnight low in the upper 70s on June 15, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 78-79°F. This range reflects the typical June diurnal cycle in South Florida's tropical monsoon climate, where high humidity and light southeasterly winds limit radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 82°F provide a thermal buffer. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated near seasonal normals of 76-78°F. Traders appear to be pricing in the high-confidence consensus from short-range ensembles ahead of the 24-hour verification window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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