Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida have kept overnight lows elevated, with forecasters from AccuWeather and local outlets projecting Miami International Airport minima in the upper 70s to low 80s°F through mid-June. High dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and a southerly flow have minimized temperature drops, positioning 80–81°F as the dominant outcome at 84% market-implied probability. Historical June averages near 76–78°F are being exceeded amid an unusually dry, hot pattern with heat indices routinely above 100°F. Official resolution hinges on the KMIA station reading; any late-day thunderstorm or wind shift could trim a degree or two but remains unlikely given current model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 14 de junio?
80-81°F 90%
78-79°F 8%
76-77°F 3.3%
72-73°F <1%
$5,688 Vol.
$5,688 Vol.
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
88%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 90%
78-79°F 8%
76-77°F 3.3%
72-73°F <1%
$5,688 Vol.
$5,688 Vol.
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
88%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida have kept overnight lows elevated, with forecasters from AccuWeather and local outlets projecting Miami International Airport minima in the upper 70s to low 80s°F through mid-June. High dew points, limited nocturnal radiational cooling, and a southerly flow have minimized temperature drops, positioning 80–81°F as the dominant outcome at 84% market-implied probability. Historical June averages near 76–78°F are being exceeded amid an unusually dry, hot pattern with heat indices routinely above 100°F. Official resolution hinges on the KMIA station reading; any late-day thunderstorm or wind shift could trim a degree or two but remains unlikely given current model consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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