Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan lacks the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to advance impeachment of President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court, a threshold confirmed by the failed May 19, 2026 vote of 56-50 on a motion stemming from a December 2025 dispute over local revenue-sharing legislation. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold insufficient seats to overcome Democratic Progressive Party resistance, and no subsequent legislative action has altered this arithmetic in the weeks since. With the June 30 resolution date rapidly approaching, traders view additional procedural steps as structurally blocked absent unforeseen shifts in coalition alignments or extraordinary new evidence of misconduct. Late developments such as a sudden cross-party realignment or major verified scandal could theoretically reopen the process, though historical patterns and current seat distributions make such reversals improbable within the narrow timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,343,911 Vol.
$1,343,911 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan lacks the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to advance impeachment of President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court, a threshold confirmed by the failed May 19, 2026 vote of 56-50 on a motion stemming from a December 2025 dispute over local revenue-sharing legislation. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold insufficient seats to overcome Democratic Progressive Party resistance, and no subsequent legislative action has altered this arithmetic in the weeks since. With the June 30 resolution date rapidly approaching, traders view additional procedural steps as structurally blocked absent unforeseen shifts in coalition alignments or extraordinary new evidence of misconduct. Late developments such as a sudden cross-party realignment or major verified scandal could theoretically reopen the process, though historical patterns and current seat distributions make such reversals improbable within the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volumen
$1,343,911Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan lacks the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to advance impeachment of President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court, a threshold confirmed by the failed May 19, 2026 vote of 56-50 on a motion stemming from a December 2025 dispute over local revenue-sharing legislation. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold insufficient seats to overcome Democratic Progressive Party resistance, and no subsequent legislative action has altered this arithmetic in the weeks since. With the June 30 resolution date rapidly approaching, traders view additional procedural steps as structurally blocked absent unforeseen shifts in coalition alignments or extraordinary new evidence of misconduct. Late developments such as a sudden cross-party realignment or major verified scandal could theoretically reopen the process, though historical patterns and current seat distributions make such reversals improbable within the narrow timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$1,343,911Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan lacks the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to advance impeachment of President Lai Ching-te to the Constitutional Court, a threshold confirmed by the failed May 19, 2026 vote of 56-50 on a motion stemming from a December 2025 dispute over local revenue-sharing legislation. The Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party together hold insufficient seats to overcome Democratic Progressive Party resistance, and no subsequent legislative action has altered this arithmetic in the weeks since. With the June 30 resolution date rapidly approaching, traders view additional procedural steps as structurally blocked absent unforeseen shifts in coalition alignments or extraordinary new evidence of misconduct. Late developments such as a sudden cross-party realignment or major verified scandal could theoretically reopen the process, though historical patterns and current seat distributions make such reversals improbable within the narrow timeframe.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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