Skip to main content
icon for ¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Taiwán

¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?
Geopolítica·Taiwán

¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?

jun 30

jun 30

Sí

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$14,432 Vol.

Sí

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$14,432 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling a Legislative Yuan majority but short of the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats), initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations in fiscal policy, with public hearings continuing into late April 2026 and a final vote set for May 19. DPP lawmakers and allies have boycotted sessions, underscoring partisan deadlock, while trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects the insurmountable vote threshold absent unprecedented defections or scandal. Even if passed, the Judicial Yuan would review, historically upholding few such cases; late-breaking legal developments or health events remain remote upset risks before June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$14,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling a Legislative Yuan majority but short of the required three-fourths supermajority (85 of 113 seats), initiated impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over alleged constitutional violations in fiscal policy, with public hearings continuing into late April 2026 and a final vote set for May 19. DPP lawmakers and allies have boycotted sessions, underscoring partisan deadlock, while trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects the insurmountable vote threshold absent unprecedented defections or scandal. Even if passed, the Judicial Yuan would review, historically upholding few such cases; late-breaking legal developments or health events remain remote upset risks before June 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$14,432
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será destituido Lai Ching-te antes del 30 de junio?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $14.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Será destituido Lai Ching-te antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Lai Ching-te destituido antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.