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icon for ¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?

¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?

icon for ¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?

¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,658 Vol.

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$13,658 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 11 televised statement explicitly rejecting forced dollarization due to public opposition has anchored trader consensus at 98% against implementation by June 30, as his administration prioritizes peso stabilization via a managed crawling band regime and IMF-backed exchange rate controls. With no legislative progress, central bank restructuring, or accumulation of sufficient dollar reserves needed for a full peso-to-dollar transition—estimated at over $40 billion—market pricing reflects insurmountable logistical and political barriers in the remaining two months. While economic shocks like hyperinflation resurgence or a fiscal crisis could prompt a sudden policy pivot, such scenarios remain improbable absent major announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Volumen
$13,658
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.President Javier Milei's April 11 televised statement explicitly rejecting forced dollarization due to public opposition has anchored trader consensus at 98% against implementation by June 30, as his administration prioritizes peso stabilization via a managed crawling band regime and IMF-backed exchange rate controls. With no legislative progress, central bank restructuring, or accumulation of sufficient dollar reserves needed for a full peso-to-dollar transition—estimated at over $40 billion—market pricing reflects insurmountable logistical and political barriers in the remaining two months. While economic shocks like hyperinflation resurgence or a fiscal crisis could prompt a sudden policy pivot, such scenarios remain improbable absent major announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun.

Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Volumen
$13,658
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 31, 2025, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Dolarizará Argentina antes del 30 de junio de 2026?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?" ha generado $13.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 31, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?" es "¿Dolarizará Argentina antes del 30 de junio de 2026?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Argentina se dolarizará para el 30 de junio de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.