Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025, securing a broad consensus after a two-year vacancy and ending a prolonged political deadlock amid Hezbollah’s diminished influence following the 2024 Israel conflict. His six-year term extends well beyond 2026 under Lebanon’s confessional system, with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for early removal in the near term. Recent developments, including Aoun’s public statements on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawal demands, sovereignty preservation, and U.S.-brokered talks through mid-2026, show him actively exercising the office without reported parliamentary challenges, resignation pressures, or coalition shifts that would alter his position. Trader consensus at 88% for “No” reflects this stability, reinforced by international backing and the absence of credible early-exit scenarios before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025, securing a broad consensus after a two-year vacancy and ending a prolonged political deadlock amid Hezbollah’s diminished influence following the 2024 Israel conflict. His six-year term extends well beyond 2026 under Lebanon’s confessional system, with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for early removal in the near term. Recent developments, including Aoun’s public statements on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawal demands, sovereignty preservation, and U.S.-brokered talks through mid-2026, show him actively exercising the office without reported parliamentary challenges, resignation pressures, or coalition shifts that would alter his position. Trader consensus at 88% for “No” reflects this stability, reinforced by international backing and the absence of credible early-exit scenarios before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volumen
$7,920Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025, securing a broad consensus after a two-year vacancy and ending a prolonged political deadlock amid Hezbollah’s diminished influence following the 2024 Israel conflict. His six-year term extends well beyond 2026 under Lebanon’s confessional system, with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for early removal in the near term. Recent developments, including Aoun’s public statements on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawal demands, sovereignty preservation, and U.S.-brokered talks through mid-2026, show him actively exercising the office without reported parliamentary challenges, resignation pressures, or coalition shifts that would alter his position. Trader consensus at 88% for “No” reflects this stability, reinforced by international backing and the absence of credible early-exit scenarios before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,920Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president by parliament in January 2025, securing a broad consensus after a two-year vacancy and ending a prolonged political deadlock amid Hezbollah’s diminished influence following the 2024 Israel conflict. His six-year term extends well beyond 2026 under Lebanon’s confessional system, with no scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for early removal in the near term. Recent developments, including Aoun’s public statements on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawal demands, sovereignty preservation, and U.S.-brokered talks through mid-2026, show him actively exercising the office without reported parliamentary challenges, resignation pressures, or coalition shifts that would alter his position. Trader consensus at 88% for “No” reflects this stability, reinforced by international backing and the absence of credible early-exit scenarios before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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