The open-seat 2026 Iowa gubernatorial contest has produced current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 63.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds declined a third term, and the June 2 primaries delivered Democrat Rob Sand unopposed while businessman Zach Lahn upset endorsed U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra for the Republican nomination. Sand’s statewide profile as auditor, rural background, and substantial fundraising have positioned him with crossover support among independents in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Lahn’s primary performance highlighted internal GOP divisions, though the general election remains early and subject to shifts from polling, economic conditions, and turnout patterns ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Iowa
$44,933 Vol.
$44,933 Vol.

Demócrata
63%

Republicano
37%
$44,933 Vol.
$44,933 Vol.

Demócrata
63%

Republicano
37%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat 2026 Iowa gubernatorial contest has produced current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 63.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Republican Kim Reynolds declined a third term, and the June 2 primaries delivered Democrat Rob Sand unopposed while businessman Zach Lahn upset endorsed U.S. Representative Randy Feenstra for the Republican nomination. Sand’s statewide profile as auditor, rural background, and substantial fundraising have positioned him with crossover support among independents in a state that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Lahn’s primary performance highlighted internal GOP divisions, though the general election remains early and subject to shifts from polling, economic conditions, and turnout patterns ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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