Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and reports of an early June roadshow targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a potential $75 billion capital raise. Starlink's projected revenue surge to $22-24 billion in 2026, fueled by subscriber growth and satellite deployments, underpins the blockbuster scale, while full SpaceX listing resolves long-standing private tender offers. August at 17% reflects minor slippage risks from regulatory review or market conditions, with "No IPO before 2027" at just 6% signaling strong momentum. Key catalysts ahead include mid-May S-1 registration and Starship milestones validating reusability for sustained valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 66%
Agosto 16.9%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.3%
$333,053 Vol.
$333,053 Vol.
Abril
<1%
Mayo
<1%
Junio
66%
Julio
8%
Agosto
17%
Septiembre
3%
Octubre
1%
Noviembre
1%
Diciembre
2%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
6%
Junio 66%
Agosto 16.9%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.3%
$333,053 Vol.
$333,053 Vol.
Abril
<1%
Mayo
<1%
Junio
66%
Julio
8%
Agosto
17%
Septiembre
3%
Octubre
1%
Noviembre
1%
Diciembre
2%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 66% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1 and reports of an early June roadshow targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a potential $75 billion capital raise. Starlink's projected revenue surge to $22-24 billion in 2026, fueled by subscriber growth and satellite deployments, underpins the blockbuster scale, while full SpaceX listing resolves long-standing private tender offers. August at 17% reflects minor slippage risks from regulatory review or market conditions, with "No IPO before 2027" at just 6% signaling strong momentum. Key catalysts ahead include mid-May S-1 registration and Starship milestones validating reusability for sustained valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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