Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, reflecting the company's confidential SEC filing in early April and detailed roadmaps from sources indicating a prospectus filing between May 15-22, followed by a roadshow the week of June 8 targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. August trails at 17% as traders price in modest delays from regulatory review or market conditions, while nearer-term months like May and April carry negligible odds below 1% amid ongoing S-1 preparation. Starlink's revenue momentum and Starship progress bolster sentiment, with final SEC approval and broader equity market volatility as pivotal upcoming catalysts shaping these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 65%
Agosto 17.3%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.4%
$333,370 Vol.
$333,370 Vol.
Abril
<1%
Mayo
<1%
Junio
65%
Julio
8%
Agosto
17%
Septiembre
3%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
1%
Diciembre
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
6%
Junio 65%
Agosto 17.3%
Julio 7.6%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 6.4%
$333,370 Vol.
$333,370 Vol.
Abril
<1%
Mayo
<1%
Junio
65%
Julio
8%
Agosto
17%
Septiembre
3%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
1%
Diciembre
1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to a SpaceX initial public offering in June 2026, reflecting the company's confidential SEC filing in early April and detailed roadmaps from sources indicating a prospectus filing between May 15-22, followed by a roadshow the week of June 8 targeting a record $75 billion raise at around $1.75 trillion valuation. August trails at 17% as traders price in modest delays from regulatory review or market conditions, while nearer-term months like May and April carry negligible odds below 1% amid ongoing S-1 preparation. Starlink's revenue momentum and Starship progress bolster sentiment, with final SEC approval and broader equity market volatility as pivotal upcoming catalysts shaping these skin-in-the-game probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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