Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 Vol.
$87,881 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 Vol.
$87,881 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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