Current forecasts from regional models place Tokyo’s June 16 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split on those two outcomes. Mid-June climatology features the onset of the East Asian rainy season, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southwesterly flow that typically caps daytime heating just above seasonal normals of 25–26 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in the position of a weak frontal boundary and shortwave energy aloft; clearer breaks could push readings to 27–28 °C, while persistent stratus or showers would favor 25 °C or lower. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will determine the recorded high, with traders weighting the latest model runs and any updates to boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models place Tokyo’s June 16 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting the market’s tight 35.5 % / 28.5 % split on those two outcomes. Mid-June climatology features the onset of the East Asian rainy season, with increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and southwesterly flow that typically caps daytime heating just above seasonal normals of 25–26 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertainty in the position of a weak frontal boundary and shortwave energy aloft; clearer breaks could push readings to 27–28 °C, while persistent stratus or showers would favor 25 °C or lower. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will determine the recorded high, with traders weighting the latest model runs and any updates to boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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