Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast. These align closely with climatological normals of 28–30°C and recent stable model consensus showing no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Trader positioning around 30°C as the modal outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster and low expected variance, while the secondary 29°C probability captures residual uncertainty in final observational readings from local stations. New IMS updates or late model runs ahead of resolution could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 50%
29°C 27%
31°C 11%
32°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
27%
30°C
50%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 27%
31°C 11%
32°C 3.7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
26°C or below
$526 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$354 Vol.
1%
28°C
$660 Vol.
4%
29°C
$245 Vol.
27%
30°C
$486 Vol.
50%
31°C
$435 Vol.
11%
32°C
$185 Vol.
4%
33°C
$123 Vol.
1%
34°C
$320 Vol.
1%
35°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast. These align closely with climatological normals of 28–30°C and recent stable model consensus showing no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Trader positioning around 30°C as the modal outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster and low expected variance, while the secondary 29°C probability captures residual uncertainty in final observational readings from local stations. New IMS updates or late model runs ahead of resolution could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$3,790Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast. These align closely with climatological normals of 28–30°C and recent stable model consensus showing no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Trader positioning around 30°C as the modal outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster and low expected variance, while the secondary 29°C probability captures residual uncertainty in final observational readings from local stations. New IMS updates or late model runs ahead of resolution could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,790Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as those referenced by the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driven by typical early-summer Mediterranean conditions with moderate northerly flow, limited cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast. These align closely with climatological normals of 28–30°C and recent stable model consensus showing no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Trader positioning around 30°C as the modal outcome reflects this tight forecast cluster and low expected variance, while the secondary 29°C probability captures residual uncertainty in final observational readings from local stations. New IMS updates or late model runs ahead of resolution could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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