Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston points to a high near or slightly below normal June levels, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This setup has anchored trader consensus on the 90-91°F bin while supporting the sizable 88-89°F probability, as convection and moisture often cap temperatures 2–4°F below the 92°F climatological normal. Model spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 92-93°F only if skies clear earlier than expected, keeping lower and higher bins thinly traded. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day clearing will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 14 de junio?
90-91°F 55%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 4.2%
$20,170 Vol.
$20,170 Vol.
81°F o menos
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F o más
<1%
90-91°F 55%
88-89°F 29%
92-93°F 18%
86-87°F 4.2%
$20,170 Vol.
$20,170 Vol.
81°F o menos
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
55%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston points to a high near or slightly below normal June levels, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southeasterly flow limiting afternoon heating. This setup has anchored trader consensus on the 90-91°F bin while supporting the sizable 88-89°F probability, as convection and moisture often cap temperatures 2–4°F below the 92°F climatological normal. Model spreads remain modest, with limited upside risk to 92-93°F only if skies clear earlier than expected, keeping lower and higher bins thinly traded. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day clearing will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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