Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, converge on a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Moscow on June 10 under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest warming above early-June climatological norms of 20–22 °C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts in the thermal ridge, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 28–30 °C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by unexpected timing shifts or localized effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 10?
29°C 45%
28°C 26%
30°C 21%
31°C 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
26%
29°C
45%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 26%
30°C 21%
31°C 5.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$524 Vol.
2%
27°C
$875 Vol.
5%
28°C
$419 Vol.
26%
29°C
$273 Vol.
45%
30°C
$172 Vol.
21%
31°C
$400 Vol.
5%
32°C
$768 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, converge on a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Moscow on June 10 under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest warming above early-June climatological norms of 20–22 °C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts in the thermal ridge, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 28–30 °C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by unexpected timing shifts or localized effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$6,036Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, converge on a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Moscow on June 10 under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest warming above early-June climatological norms of 20–22 °C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts in the thermal ridge, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 28–30 °C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by unexpected timing shifts or localized effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,036Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global and regional models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, converge on a daytime maximum of 28–29 °C in Moscow on June 10 under stable high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover. These conditions favor modest warming above early-June climatological norms of 20–22 °C without triggering stronger advection or convective cooling. Recent model updates have shown minimal shifts in the thermal ridge, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 28–30 °C and explaining the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes while leaving lower probabilities for outliers driven by unexpected timing shifts or localized effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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