Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 11 most likely between 28–30°C, supported by high pressure and southerly flow that favors daytime warming. Model consensus remains tight yet shows minor spread due to variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal features, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This range exceeds typical early-June climatology near 22°C, reflecting an amplified warm anomaly. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet for any adjustments to maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 11 de junio?
29°C 31%
28°C 26%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 26%
30°C 12%
27°C 10%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
22%
29°C
31%
30°C
21%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a peak temperature in Moscow on June 11 most likely between 28–30°C, supported by high pressure and southerly flow that favors daytime warming. Model consensus remains tight yet shows minor spread due to variable cloud cover and the precise timing of any weak frontal features, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This range exceeds typical early-June climatology near 22°C, reflecting an amplified warm anomaly. Traders are closely monitoring the next model runs and official updates from agencies such as Roshydromet for any adjustments to maximum temperature guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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