**Latest official guidance from Turkey’s Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a maximum of 29 °C for Istanbul on June 16, yet the closely bunched 25–27 °C market range (82 % combined) reflects model spread and local modulation.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps afternoon peaks below inland guidance, while variable low-level cloud cover and wind speeds can shift realized highs by 2–3 °C. With June climatological averages near 25–26 °C and recent model runs showing modest cooling signals relative to earlier forecasts, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25 °C and 26 °C bins. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at the official Florya station; updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any last-minute marine-layer changes remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
25°C 32%
26°C 28%
27°C 23%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
32%
26°C
28%
27°C
23%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
26°C 28%
27°C 23%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$496 Vol.
2%
23°C
$509 Vol.
4%
24°C
$444 Vol.
13%
25°C
$123 Vol.
32%
26°C
$318 Vol.
28%
27°C
$226 Vol.
23%
28°C
$98 Vol.
4%
29°C
$129 Vol.
2%
30°C
$200 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance from Turkey’s Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a maximum of 29 °C for Istanbul on June 16, yet the closely bunched 25–27 °C market range (82 % combined) reflects model spread and local modulation.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps afternoon peaks below inland guidance, while variable low-level cloud cover and wind speeds can shift realized highs by 2–3 °C. With June climatological averages near 25–26 °C and recent model runs showing modest cooling signals relative to earlier forecasts, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25 °C and 26 °C bins. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at the official Florya station; updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any last-minute marine-layer changes remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$3,961Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official guidance from Turkey’s Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a maximum of 29 °C for Istanbul on June 16, yet the closely bunched 25–27 °C market range (82 % combined) reflects model spread and local modulation.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps afternoon peaks below inland guidance, while variable low-level cloud cover and wind speeds can shift realized highs by 2–3 °C. With June climatological averages near 25–26 °C and recent model runs showing modest cooling signals relative to earlier forecasts, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25 °C and 26 °C bins. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at the official Florya station; updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any last-minute marine-layer changes remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,961Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official guidance from Turkey’s Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a maximum of 29 °C for Istanbul on June 16, yet the closely bunched 25–27 °C market range (82 % combined) reflects model spread and local modulation.** Coastal sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps afternoon peaks below inland guidance, while variable low-level cloud cover and wind speeds can shift realized highs by 2–3 °C. With June climatological averages near 25–26 °C and recent model runs showing modest cooling signals relative to earlier forecasts, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 25 °C and 26 °C bins. Resolution hinges on the precise peak recorded at the official Florya station; updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any last-minute marine-layer changes remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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