Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will most likely fall in the 25–27 °C range, driven by southerly flow advecting moderately warm air under partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This pattern aligns closely with long-term June climatology while allowing modest spread from local sea-breeze effects and timing of any convective cloud build-up, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26 °C. Updated model runs through June 14 show little shift in guidance, leaving traders focused on resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations rather than broader seasonal warming trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
35%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
24°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$401 Vol.
2%
24°C
$142 Vol.
7%
25°C
$75 Vol.
25%
26°C
$216 Vol.
35%
27°C
$154 Vol.
20%
28°C
$16 Vol.
5%
29°C
$117 Vol.
3%
30°C
$157 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$481 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will most likely fall in the 25–27 °C range, driven by southerly flow advecting moderately warm air under partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This pattern aligns closely with long-term June climatology while allowing modest spread from local sea-breeze effects and timing of any convective cloud build-up, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26 °C. Updated model runs through June 14 show little shift in guidance, leaving traders focused on resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations rather than broader seasonal warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$2,334Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will most likely fall in the 25–27 °C range, driven by southerly flow advecting moderately warm air under partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This pattern aligns closely with long-term June climatology while allowing modest spread from local sea-breeze effects and timing of any convective cloud build-up, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26 °C. Updated model runs through June 14 show little shift in guidance, leaving traders focused on resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations rather than broader seasonal warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,334Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Istanbul’s June 16 maximum will most likely fall in the 25–27 °C range, driven by southerly flow advecting moderately warm air under partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This pattern aligns closely with long-term June climatology while allowing modest spread from local sea-breeze effects and timing of any convective cloud build-up, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26 °C. Updated model runs through June 14 show little shift in guidance, leaving traders focused on resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum observations rather than broader seasonal warming trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes