Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul under a transitional maritime flow on June 16, 2026, with daytime maxima expected to peak in the mid-20s °C amid variable cloud cover and moderate northerly winds that limit insolation. This setup aligns closely with June climatology, where average highs reach 25–27 °C, producing tight clustering of forecast solutions around 25–27 °C and explaining the near-even market distribution among those bins. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and observations through the evening of June 15 will further refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
27°C 22%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
27°C 22%
24°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$500 Vol.
1%
23°C
$518 Vol.
4%
24°C
$448 Vol.
13%
25°C
$123 Vol.
33%
26°C
$325 Vol.
28%
27°C
$233 Vol.
22%
28°C
$98 Vol.
4%
29°C
$172 Vol.
2%
30°C
$295 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul under a transitional maritime flow on June 16, 2026, with daytime maxima expected to peak in the mid-20s °C amid variable cloud cover and moderate northerly winds that limit insolation. This setup aligns closely with June climatology, where average highs reach 25–27 °C, producing tight clustering of forecast solutions around 25–27 °C and explaining the near-even market distribution among those bins. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and observations through the evening of June 15 will further refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$3,961Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul under a transitional maritime flow on June 16, 2026, with daytime maxima expected to peak in the mid-20s °C amid variable cloud cover and moderate northerly winds that limit insolation. This setup aligns closely with June climatology, where average highs reach 25–27 °C, producing tight clustering of forecast solutions around 25–27 °C and explaining the near-even market distribution among those bins. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and observations through the evening of June 15 will further refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,961Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Istanbul under a transitional maritime flow on June 16, 2026, with daytime maxima expected to peak in the mid-20s °C amid variable cloud cover and moderate northerly winds that limit insolation. This setup aligns closely with June climatology, where average highs reach 25–27 °C, producing tight clustering of forecast solutions around 25–27 °C and explaining the near-even market distribution among those bins. Key differentiating variables include exact timing of any clearing, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat effects, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and observations through the evening of June 15 will further refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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