Latest National Weather Service forecasts for William P. Hobby Airport, the market's resolution site, project highs near 86°F on May 10 under partly sunny conditions with light southeast winds and isolated thunderstorm chances, driving the 85.5% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, consistent with Houston's May 10 climatological normal of 85°F at nearby sites. Recent observations confirm building heat—current readings hit 89°F with low humidity—while intermittent showers pose minor upside risk to the runner-up 84-85°F bin if clouds persist. Updated hourly guidance and afternoon soundings expected later today could refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 10?
86°F or higher 86%
84-85°F 15%
82-83°F 2.1%
80-81°F 1.3%
NUEVO
$27,239 Vol.
NUEVO
$27,239 Vol.
10 may 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86°F or higher
86%
86°F or higher 86%
84-85°F 15%
82-83°F 2.1%
80-81°F 1.3%
NUEVO
$27,239 Vol.
NUEVO
$27,239 Vol.
10 may 2026
67°F or below
$2,056 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,742 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,166 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,084 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$858 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$626 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,144 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,096 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$2,290 Vol.
15%
86°F or higher
$2,122 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for William P. Hobby Airport, the market's resolution site, project highs near 86°F on May 10 under partly sunny conditions with light southeast winds and isolated thunderstorm chances, driving the 85.5% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, consistent with Houston's May 10 climatological normal of 85°F at nearby sites. Recent observations confirm building heat—current readings hit 89°F with low humidity—while intermittent showers pose minor upside risk to the runner-up 84-85°F bin if clouds persist. Updated hourly guidance and afternoon soundings expected later today could refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$27,239Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for William P. Hobby Airport, the market's resolution site, project highs near 86°F on May 10 under partly sunny conditions with light southeast winds and isolated thunderstorm chances, driving the 85.5% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, consistent with Houston's May 10 climatological normal of 85°F at nearby sites. Recent observations confirm building heat—current readings hit 89°F with low humidity—while intermittent showers pose minor upside risk to the runner-up 84-85°F bin if clouds persist. Updated hourly guidance and afternoon soundings expected later today could refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,239Fecha de finalización
10 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 8, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for William P. Hobby Airport, the market's resolution site, project highs near 86°F on May 10 under partly sunny conditions with light southeast winds and isolated thunderstorm chances, driving the 85.5% implied probability for 86°F or higher. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show consensus for upper-80s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, consistent with Houston's May 10 climatological normal of 85°F at nearby sites. Recent observations confirm building heat—current readings hit 89°F with low humidity—while intermittent showers pose minor upside risk to the runner-up 84-85°F bin if clouds persist. Updated hourly guidance and afternoon soundings expected later today could refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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