Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 15 de junio?
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 31%
88-89°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
75°F o menos
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
31%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on June 15 point to a maximum temperature centered in the mid-80s, with 84–85 °F and 86–87 °F ranges commanding the highest market-implied odds due to closely clustered deterministic and probabilistic forecasts. Key differentiating factors include the strength of daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, boundary-layer moisture from the Gulf, light southeasterly flow, and any late-day sea-breeze or convective cooling that could cap the peak. Short-term model runs show modest spread around these values, reflecting typical June variability and the inherent uncertainty in resolving the exact diurnal maximum 24 hours ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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