Recent global and regional model consensus for Beijing on June 16 points to a daytime high near 27°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating and enhances evaporative cooling. This setup anchors the closely bunched market-implied odds, with 27°C at 29.5% and adjacent bins capturing ensemble spread. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet variability in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns sustains uncertainty ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification. Next ECMWF and GFS runs, plus updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 16 de junio?
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
$11,308 Vol.
$11,308 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C o más
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
$11,308 Vol.
$11,308 Vol.
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional model consensus for Beijing on June 16 points to a daytime high near 27°C amid scattered showers and increased cloud cover that limits surface heating and enhances evaporative cooling. This setup anchors the closely bunched market-implied odds, with 27°C at 29.5% and adjacent bins capturing ensemble spread. Historical June baselines near 30°C provide context, yet variability in precipitation timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering patterns sustains uncertainty ahead of official China Meteorological Administration verification. Next ECMWF and GFS runs, plus updated guidance from the National Meteorological Center, will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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