Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's unopposed nomination and consistent polling leads over Republican contenders have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's November 3, 2026, Senate contest. Ossoff benefits from established name recognition, a fundraising advantage, and modest edges in head-to-head surveys against likely opponents, while the Republican primary runoff on June 16 between Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley leaves the GOP side unsettled just months before the general election. Forecasters classify the race as lean Democratic or a tossup, reflecting Georgia's competitive electorate and the structural benefits of incumbency in a midterm cycle. Late developments in candidate positioning or national conditions could still influence outcomes, though current pricing reflects these established dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$28,662 Vol.
$28,662 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
86%
Republicano
13%
$28,662 Vol.
$28,662 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$10,472 Vol.
86%
Republicano
$18,190 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's unopposed nomination and consistent polling leads over Republican contenders have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's November 3, 2026, Senate contest. Ossoff benefits from established name recognition, a fundraising advantage, and modest edges in head-to-head surveys against likely opponents, while the Republican primary runoff on June 16 between Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley leaves the GOP side unsettled just months before the general election. Forecasters classify the race as lean Democratic or a tossup, reflecting Georgia's competitive electorate and the structural benefits of incumbency in a midterm cycle. Late developments in candidate positioning or national conditions could still influence outcomes, though current pricing reflects these established dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$28,662Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's unopposed nomination and consistent polling leads over Republican contenders have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's November 3, 2026, Senate contest. Ossoff benefits from established name recognition, a fundraising advantage, and modest edges in head-to-head surveys against likely opponents, while the Republican primary runoff on June 16 between Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley leaves the GOP side unsettled just months before the general election. Forecasters classify the race as lean Democratic or a tossup, reflecting Georgia's competitive electorate and the structural benefits of incumbency in a midterm cycle. Late developments in candidate positioning or national conditions could still influence outcomes, though current pricing reflects these established dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$28,662Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff's unopposed nomination and consistent polling leads over Republican contenders have anchored trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's November 3, 2026, Senate contest. Ossoff benefits from established name recognition, a fundraising advantage, and modest edges in head-to-head surveys against likely opponents, while the Republican primary runoff on June 16 between Representative Mike Collins and Derek Dooley leaves the GOP side unsettled just months before the general election. Forecasters classify the race as lean Democratic or a tossup, reflecting Georgia's competitive electorate and the structural benefits of incumbency in a midterm cycle. Late developments in candidate positioning or national conditions could still influence outcomes, though current pricing reflects these established dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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