Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed by Governor Ron DeSantis following Marco Rubio's resignation to serve as Secretary of State. Moody seeks to complete the final two years of the term in the November 3 general election after August 18 primaries. Multiple 2026 polls show Moody leading Democratic primary contenders including Alexander Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon by margins of 3 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, combined with Moody's statewide name recognition and fundraising position, supports the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. The Democratic field remains divided ahead of the primary, with limited evidence of a broad shift in voter sentiment over the past several months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$40,815 Vol.
$40,815 Vol.
Republicano
81%
Demócrata
19%
$40,815 Vol.
$40,815 Vol.
Republicano
$20,929 Vol.
81%
Demócrata
$19,886 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed by Governor Ron DeSantis following Marco Rubio's resignation to serve as Secretary of State. Moody seeks to complete the final two years of the term in the November 3 general election after August 18 primaries. Multiple 2026 polls show Moody leading Democratic primary contenders including Alexander Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon by margins of 3 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, combined with Moody's statewide name recognition and fundraising position, supports the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. The Democratic field remains divided ahead of the primary, with limited evidence of a broad shift in voter sentiment over the past several months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$40,815Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed by Governor Ron DeSantis following Marco Rubio's resignation to serve as Secretary of State. Moody seeks to complete the final two years of the term in the November 3 general election after August 18 primaries. Multiple 2026 polls show Moody leading Democratic primary contenders including Alexander Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon by margins of 3 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, combined with Moody's statewide name recognition and fundraising position, supports the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. The Democratic field remains divided ahead of the primary, with limited evidence of a broad shift in voter sentiment over the past several months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$40,815Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed by Governor Ron DeSantis following Marco Rubio's resignation to serve as Secretary of State. Moody seeks to complete the final two years of the term in the November 3 general election after August 18 primaries. Multiple 2026 polls show Moody leading Democratic primary contenders including Alexander Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon by margins of 3 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups. Florida's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal contests, combined with Moody's statewide name recognition and fundraising position, supports the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. The Democratic field remains divided ahead of the primary, with limited evidence of a broad shift in voter sentiment over the past several months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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