Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driving trader consensus to 79.5% implied probability of a GOP win. April polls from Stetson University (Moody 49-51% over Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon) and Echelon Insights (50-43% vs. Vindman) underscore her edge among likely voters, bolstered by incumbent advantages after Gov. Ron DeSantis's appointment and endorsements from Sen. Rick Scott. Florida's Republican-leaning electorate, recent GOP redistricting gains, and Democratic fundraising challenges despite national attention on Vindman limit Democrat odds at 14.5%, though primaries in August and general election dynamics could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$36,068 Vol.
$36,068 Vol.
Republicano
80%
Demócrata
15%
$36,068 Vol.
$36,068 Vol.
Republicano
$19,115 Vol.
80%
Demócrata
$16,952 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driving trader consensus to 79.5% implied probability of a GOP win. April polls from Stetson University (Moody 49-51% over Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon) and Echelon Insights (50-43% vs. Vindman) underscore her edge among likely voters, bolstered by incumbent advantages after Gov. Ron DeSantis's appointment and endorsements from Sen. Rick Scott. Florida's Republican-leaning electorate, recent GOP redistricting gains, and Democratic fundraising challenges despite national attention on Vindman limit Democrat odds at 14.5%, though primaries in August and general election dynamics could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$36,068Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driving trader consensus to 79.5% implied probability of a GOP win. April polls from Stetson University (Moody 49-51% over Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon) and Echelon Insights (50-43% vs. Vindman) underscore her edge among likely voters, bolstered by incumbent advantages after Gov. Ron DeSantis's appointment and endorsements from Sen. Rick Scott. Florida's Republican-leaning electorate, recent GOP redistricting gains, and Democratic fundraising challenges despite national attention on Vindman limit Democrat odds at 14.5%, though primaries in August and general election dynamics could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$36,068Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in recent polls for Florida's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, driving trader consensus to 79.5% implied probability of a GOP win. April polls from Stetson University (Moody 49-51% over Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon) and Echelon Insights (50-43% vs. Vindman) underscore her edge among likely voters, bolstered by incumbent advantages after Gov. Ron DeSantis's appointment and endorsements from Sen. Rick Scott. Florida's Republican-leaning electorate, recent GOP redistricting gains, and Democratic fundraising challenges despite national attention on Vindman limit Democrat odds at 14.5%, though primaries in August and general election dynamics could shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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