Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s presidential system, and recent court rulings have further consolidated his position by annulling opposition CHP leadership elections in May 2026. These moves, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against potential rivals such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have limited organized challenges ahead of any early vote. Erdoğan continues active public engagement in diplomacy and domestic policy into mid-2026, with no verified incapacity despite unconfirmed health speculation. Traders therefore assign low probability to removal by resignation, constitutional challenge, or other means before the December 2026 cutoff, consistent with the two-term limit and institutional controls that have sustained his rule since 2003.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$513,311 Vol.
$513,311 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Sí
$513,311 Vol.
$513,311 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s presidential system, and recent court rulings have further consolidated his position by annulling opposition CHP leadership elections in May 2026. These moves, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against potential rivals such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have limited organized challenges ahead of any early vote. Erdoğan continues active public engagement in diplomacy and domestic policy into mid-2026, with no verified incapacity despite unconfirmed health speculation. Traders therefore assign low probability to removal by resignation, constitutional challenge, or other means before the December 2026 cutoff, consistent with the two-term limit and institutional controls that have sustained his rule since 2003.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$513,311Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s presidential system, and recent court rulings have further consolidated his position by annulling opposition CHP leadership elections in May 2026. These moves, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against potential rivals such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have limited organized challenges ahead of any early vote. Erdoğan continues active public engagement in diplomacy and domestic policy into mid-2026, with no verified incapacity despite unconfirmed health speculation. Traders therefore assign low probability to removal by resignation, constitutional challenge, or other means before the December 2026 cutoff, consistent with the two-term limit and institutional controls that have sustained his rule since 2003.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$513,311Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s presidential system, and recent court rulings have further consolidated his position by annulling opposition CHP leadership elections in May 2026. These moves, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against potential rivals such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have limited organized challenges ahead of any early vote. Erdoğan continues active public engagement in diplomacy and domestic policy into mid-2026, with no verified incapacity despite unconfirmed health speculation. Traders therefore assign low probability to removal by resignation, constitutional challenge, or other means before the December 2026 cutoff, consistent with the two-term limit and institutional controls that have sustained his rule since 2003.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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