Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends to the next presidential election no later than May 14, 2028, with no snap election announced despite early-year speculation on early polls or health concerns at age 71. His recent high-profile actions—including unveiling tax cuts and investment incentives on April 24, hosting the Antalya summit on April 20 amid regional crises, and pledging tighter gun controls after school attacks—signal robust continuity and rebut unconfirmed February rumors of frailty or succession planning. Absent verified resignation signals, impeachment proceedings, or no-confidence triggers in Turkey's presidential system, traders price an 89.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and ongoing activity as dominant factors through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 4%
Sí
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends to the next presidential election no later than May 14, 2028, with no snap election announced despite early-year speculation on early polls or health concerns at age 71. His recent high-profile actions—including unveiling tax cuts and investment incentives on April 24, hosting the Antalya summit on April 20 amid regional crises, and pledging tighter gun controls after school attacks—signal robust continuity and rebut unconfirmed February rumors of frailty or succession planning. Absent verified resignation signals, impeachment proceedings, or no-confidence triggers in Turkey's presidential system, traders price an 89.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and ongoing activity as dominant factors through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$348,914Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends to the next presidential election no later than May 14, 2028, with no snap election announced despite early-year speculation on early polls or health concerns at age 71. His recent high-profile actions—including unveiling tax cuts and investment incentives on April 24, hosting the Antalya summit on April 20 amid regional crises, and pledging tighter gun controls after school attacks—signal robust continuity and rebut unconfirmed February rumors of frailty or succession planning. Absent verified resignation signals, impeachment proceedings, or no-confidence triggers in Turkey's presidential system, traders price an 89.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and ongoing activity as dominant factors through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$348,914Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends to the next presidential election no later than May 14, 2028, with no snap election announced despite early-year speculation on early polls or health concerns at age 71. His recent high-profile actions—including unveiling tax cuts and investment incentives on April 24, hosting the Antalya summit on April 20 amid regional crises, and pledging tighter gun controls after school attacks—signal robust continuity and rebut unconfirmed February rumors of frailty or succession planning. Absent verified resignation signals, impeachment proceedings, or no-confidence triggers in Turkey's presidential system, traders price an 89.5% "No" probability, viewing structural barriers and ongoing activity as dominant factors through 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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