Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding 81% implied probability in the June 30 Colorado Democratic Senate primary stems from his fundraising dominance—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026 for over $4 million cash on hand—and consistent polling leads, such as a February Data for Progress survey showing him at 45% to challenger Julie Gonzales' 13%. Gonzales, a progressive state senator who topped the March Democratic state assembly after Hickenlooper skipped it, gained traction with the Colorado AFL-CIO endorsement on April 20, positioning her as an insurgent at 14%, though her resource gap persists. Minor candidates like Nichole Miner trail far behind amid low turnout expectations in the primary. Recent polls indicate softening approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, but incumbency and party establishment support sustain trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJohn Hickenlooper 81%
Julie Gonzales 14.3%
Nichole Miner 1.0%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
81%
Julie Gonzales
14%
Nichole Miner
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
John Hickenlooper 81%
Julie Gonzales 14.3%
Nichole Miner 1.0%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
$26,993 Vol.
$26,993 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
81%
Julie Gonzales
14%
Nichole Miner
1%
Anthony Zimpfer
1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper's commanding 81% implied probability in the June 30 Colorado Democratic Senate primary stems from his fundraising dominance—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026 for over $4 million cash on hand—and consistent polling leads, such as a February Data for Progress survey showing him at 45% to challenger Julie Gonzales' 13%. Gonzales, a progressive state senator who topped the March Democratic state assembly after Hickenlooper skipped it, gained traction with the Colorado AFL-CIO endorsement on April 20, positioning her as an insurgent at 14%, though her resource gap persists. Minor candidates like Nichole Miner trail far behind amid low turnout expectations in the primary. Recent polls indicate softening approval for Hickenlooper amid economic concerns, but incumbency and party establishment support sustain trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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