Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven higher oil and gasoline prices, lifting Bank of Canada projections for 2026 CPI inflation by 0.3 percentage points to around 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report, with the effect partially offset by the federal fuel excise tax suspension. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, while subdued economic growth and a policy rate held at 2.25% through year-end anchor expectations near the 2% target. The closely matched Polymarket probabilities across 1.5–1.9%, 2.5–2.9%, and adjacent bins reflect uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven pressures versus core disinflation and potential rate-path adjustments, with the May CPI release on June 22 serving as the next key data point for trader reassessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de Canadá 2026
Inflación anual de Canadá 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 34.3%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
33%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3,0-3,4%
32%
3,5-3,9%
34%
4.0%+
1%
2.5–2.9% 46.9%
3,5-3,9% 34.3%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.9%
$16,471 Vol.
$16,471 Vol.
18 ene 2027
<1,0%
$339 Vol.
33%
1.0–1.4%
$360 Vol.
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 Vol.
39%
2.0–2.4%
$468 Vol.
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 Vol.
34%
3,0-3,4%
$13,465 Vol.
32%
3,5-3,9%
$287 Vol.
34%
4.0%+
$395 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven higher oil and gasoline prices, lifting Bank of Canada projections for 2026 CPI inflation by 0.3 percentage points to around 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report, with the effect partially offset by the federal fuel excise tax suspension. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, while subdued economic growth and a policy rate held at 2.25% through year-end anchor expectations near the 2% target. The closely matched Polymarket probabilities across 1.5–1.9%, 2.5–2.9%, and adjacent bins reflect uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven pressures versus core disinflation and potential rate-path adjustments, with the May CPI release on June 22 serving as the next key data point for trader reassessment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$16,471Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven higher oil and gasoline prices, lifting Bank of Canada projections for 2026 CPI inflation by 0.3 percentage points to around 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report, with the effect partially offset by the federal fuel excise tax suspension. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, while subdued economic growth and a policy rate held at 2.25% through year-end anchor expectations near the 2% target. The closely matched Polymarket probabilities across 1.5–1.9%, 2.5–2.9%, and adjacent bins reflect uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven pressures versus core disinflation and potential rate-path adjustments, with the May CPI release on June 22 serving as the next key data point for trader reassessment.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volumen
$16,471Fecha de finalización
18 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven higher oil and gasoline prices, lifting Bank of Canada projections for 2026 CPI inflation by 0.3 percentage points to around 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report, with the effect partially offset by the federal fuel excise tax suspension. April 2026 CPI printed at 2.8% year-over-year, up from 2.4% in March, while subdued economic growth and a policy rate held at 2.25% through year-end anchor expectations near the 2% target. The closely matched Polymarket probabilities across 1.5–1.9%, 2.5–2.9%, and adjacent bins reflect uncertainty over the persistence of energy-driven pressures versus core disinflation and potential rate-path adjustments, with the May CPI release on June 22 serving as the next key data point for trader reassessment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes