Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Arkansas
$11,129 Vol.
$11,129 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
95%
Demócrata
4%
$11,129 Vol.
$11,129 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,099 Vol.
95%
Demócrata
$3,030 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$11,129Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$11,129Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton’s pursuit of a third term in this solidly Republican state anchors trader consensus at 95.3 percent. Cotton secured his nomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against minimal opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged from her contest as the general-election nominee. Arkansas’s consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and historical Senate results continue to shape the wide margin. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national dynamics, unexpected candidate withdrawals, or major scandals, though none have surfaced to date in this cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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