Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.2% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or public roadshow preparations following the company's February 2026 Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which extended its cash runway amid explosive Claude large language model revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate. Ongoing investor offers for a potential final pre-IPO round valuing Anthropic at $800–900 billion—decision slated for a May board meeting—further diminish urgency, with credible reports targeting an October or Q4 debut at earliest, aligning with typical AI lab timelines post-funding. Regulatory scrutiny, including White House opposition to expanding access to Anthropic's advanced Mythos AI model, adds friction, though a surprise confidential filing or accelerated competitive pressure from OpenAI could challenge this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.2%
600 mil millones+ 2.1%
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,114,292 Vol.
$1,114,292 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300 mil millones
<1%
300–400 mil millones
<1%
400–600 mil millones
<1%
600 mil millones+
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
97%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026 97.2%
600 mil millones+ 2.1%
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B <1%
400–600 mil millones <1%
$1,114,292 Vol.
$1,114,292 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Título del ítem del grupo: <100B
$225,656 Vol.
1%
100–200B
$80,011 Vol.
<1%
200–300 mil millones
$134,827 Vol.
<1%
300–400 mil millones
$83,165 Vol.
<1%
400–600 mil millones
$132,677 Vol.
<1%
600 mil millones+
$264,220 Vol.
2%
Sin IPO para el 30 de junio de 2026
$193,735 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.2% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or public roadshow preparations following the company's February 2026 Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which extended its cash runway amid explosive Claude large language model revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate. Ongoing investor offers for a potential final pre-IPO round valuing Anthropic at $800–900 billion—decision slated for a May board meeting—further diminish urgency, with credible reports targeting an October or Q4 debut at earliest, aligning with typical AI lab timelines post-funding. Regulatory scrutiny, including White House opposition to expanding access to Anthropic's advanced Mythos AI model, adds friction, though a surprise confidential filing or accelerated competitive pressure from OpenAI could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,114,292Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.2% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or public roadshow preparations following the company's February 2026 Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which extended its cash runway amid explosive Claude large language model revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate. Ongoing investor offers for a potential final pre-IPO round valuing Anthropic at $800–900 billion—decision slated for a May board meeting—further diminish urgency, with credible reports targeting an October or Q4 debut at earliest, aligning with typical AI lab timelines post-funding. Regulatory scrutiny, including White House opposition to expanding access to Anthropic's advanced Mythos AI model, adds friction, though a surprise confidential filing or accelerated competitive pressure from OpenAI could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,114,292Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.2% implied probability), driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or public roadshow preparations following the company's February 2026 Series G raise of $30 billion at a $380 billion post-money valuation, which extended its cash runway amid explosive Claude large language model revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate. Ongoing investor offers for a potential final pre-IPO round valuing Anthropic at $800–900 billion—decision slated for a May board meeting—further diminish urgency, with credible reports targeting an October or Q4 debut at earliest, aligning with typical AI lab timelines post-funding. Regulatory scrutiny, including White House opposition to expanding access to Anthropic's advanced Mythos AI model, adds friction, though a surprise confidential filing or accelerated competitive pressure from OpenAI could challenge this positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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