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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama

NUEVO
Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Republicano

Republicano

$2,547 Vol.

92%

icon for Demócrata

Demócrata

$2,377 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, with no Democratic governor since 2002 and supermajority GOP control of the legislature, drives trader consensus to a 91.9% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Kay Ivey's term limit opens the seat, but former U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville leads the GOP primary field ahead of the May 19 primaries per April-updated polls, while Democrats face a fragmented primary including ex-Senator Doug Jones, who trails in recent fundraising reports. GOP candidates' recent debates highlighted policy similarities on economy and education without shifting dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a contentious GOP runoff yielding a flawed nominee, a major scandal, or anomalous turnout, though base rates favor the GOP hold.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$4,925
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican dominance in statewide races, with no Democratic governor since 2002 and supermajority GOP control of the legislature, drives trader consensus to a 91.9% implied probability of a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Kay Ivey's term limit opens the seat, but former U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville leads the GOP primary field ahead of the May 19 primaries per April-updated polls, while Democrats face a fragmented primary including ex-Senator Doug Jones, who trails in recent fundraising reports. GOP candidates' recent debates highlighted policy similarities on economy and education without shifting dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a contentious GOP runoff yielding a flawed nominee, a major scandal, or anomalous turnout, though base rates favor the GOP hold.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$4,925
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 92%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Oct 13, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama" es "Republicano" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.