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Rewards 200, 4.5, 20 predictions & odds

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When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

100%

April 27-May 3

$57.6K Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

60%

25-49

$48.8K Vol.

$103K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

38%

50-74

$237 Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

 The American Rodeo: West Regional Bull Riding Winner

The American Rodeo: West Regional Bull Riding Winner

50%

Jess Lockwood

$5 Vol.

$254 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

 The American Rodeo: West Regional Saddle Bronc Winner

The American Rodeo: West Regional Saddle Bronc Winner

50%

Kade Bruno

$0 Vol.

$231 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

 The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

The American Rodeo: West Regional Bareback Winner

50%

Clayton Biglow

$0 Vol.

$218 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

100%

April 29-30

$2M Vol.

$176K today

$383K Liq.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

57%

0 (0 bps)

$23M Vol.

$459K today

$963K Liq.

62

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

66%

Nicolás Maduro

$87M Vol.

$206K today

$738K Liq.

326

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

43%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$64M Vol.

$996K today

$4M Liq.

5,763

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$391K today

$2M Liq.

400

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$49M Vol.

$161K today

$5M Liq.

4,490

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$38.6K Vol.

$104K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

89%

180-199

$136K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

78%

60-79

$24.2K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

CZ # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

CZ # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

89%

20-39

$17.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Ted Cruz # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

41%

80-99

$20.2K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

41%

160-179

$48.5K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

96%

20-39

$12.5K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

39%

60-79

$8.1K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Rewards 200, 4.5, 20.

Polymarket currently hosts 147 active markets for Rewards 200, 4.5, 20 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will the DHS shutdown end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $250.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 66% chance to Nicolás Maduro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Rewards 200, 4.5, 20 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.