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Republican predictions & odds

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Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

21%

$4.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

<1%

$49.4K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

86%

Hakeem Jeffries

$1.5K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

75%

Thomas Massie

$404K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

32

Ends in 18 days

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

57%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$122K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

87%

Lindsey Graham

$113K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

67%

Julia Letlow

$245K Vol.

$109K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner

81%

Andy Barr

$140K Vol.

$54.4K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

83%

Byron Donalds

$1M Vol.

$98.5K Liq.

46

Ends in 4 months

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner

96%

Jim Pillen

$129K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

76%

Michele Tafoya

$81.5K Vol.

$62.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

61%

Randy Fine

$55.8K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

IA-02 Republican Primary Winner

95%

Joe Mitchell

$22.8K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

51%

David Brock Smith

$79.7K Vol.

$63.5K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

62%

Greg Hull

$821K Vol.

$56.0K Liq.

5

Ends in about 1 month

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

GA-01 Republican Primary Winner

88%

James Kingston

$9.8K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

85%

Derek Merrin

$19.1K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

54%

Victor Marx

$90.4K Vol.

$70.0K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

81%

Barry Moore

$67.4K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner

79%

Mike Collins

$588K Vol.

$68.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Republican.

Polymarket currently hosts 1237 active markets for Republican that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to Ken Paxton. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Republican predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.