Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Name: Bank of Canada Decision in July?
Start: 2026-04-30T00:08:10.245Z
End: 2026-07-15T00:00:00.000Z

Jul 15

No Change 95%

25 bps decrease 4.6%

25 bps increase 1.5%

50+ bps decrease <1%

$11,707 Vol.

Jul 15, 2026

50+ bps increase

$2,138 Vol.

<1%

25 bps increase

$2,563 Vol.

No Change

$2,254 Vol.

95%

25 bps decrease

$2,692 Vol.

50+ bps decrease

$2,059 Vol.

<1%

No Change 95%

25 bps decrease 4.6%

25 bps increase 1.5%

50+ bps decrease <1%

$11,707 Vol.

Jul 15, 2026

50+ bps increase

$2,138 Vol.

<1%

25 bps increase

$2,563 Vol.

No Change

$2,254 Vol.

95%

25 bps decrease

$2,692 Vol.

50+ bps decrease

$2,059 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the July 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its July 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for July 15, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its July 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?

85%

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?

44%

Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?

94%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Canada Decision in July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 95%, followed by "25 bps decrease" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Canada Decision in July?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" is "No Change" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25 bps decrease" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bank of Canada Decision in July?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $11.7K traded on “Bank of Canada Decision in July?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bank of Canada Decision in July?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 95¢ for "No Change" in the "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 95% chance that "No Change" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 95¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 5¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 15, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bank of Canada Decision in July?" market has an active community of 11 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bank of Canada Decision in July?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (11)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

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