President Trump's longstanding pattern of issuing public insults via press conferences, Truth Social posts, and interviews persists into his second term, fueling trader sentiment in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past week, he demanded Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ" during a briefing, called a female reporter a "disgrace" and "wiseguy," and criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure extension as a norm violation. Earlier April barbs targeted Pope Leo XIV and French President Macron's marriage. With frequent White House pressers and social media activity ahead, these catalysts highlight the low barriers to resolution on Yes outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$813,471 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 26
100%
April 28
22%
$813,471 Vol.
April 26
$197,810 Vol.
100%
April 28
$33,517 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's longstanding pattern of issuing public insults via press conferences, Truth Social posts, and interviews persists into his second term, fueling trader sentiment in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past week, he demanded Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ" during a briefing, called a female reporter a "disgrace" and "wiseguy," and criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure extension as a norm violation. Earlier April barbs targeted Pope Leo XIV and French President Macron's marriage. With frequent White House pressers and social media activity ahead, these catalysts highlight the low barriers to resolution on Yes outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$813,471End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's longstanding pattern of issuing public insults via press conferences, Truth Social posts, and interviews persists into his second term, fueling trader sentiment in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past week, he demanded Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ" during a briefing, called a female reporter a "disgrace" and "wiseguy," and criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure extension as a norm violation. Earlier April barbs targeted Pope Leo XIV and French President Macron's marriage. With frequent White House pressers and social media activity ahead, these catalysts highlight the low barriers to resolution on Yes outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$813,471End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump's longstanding pattern of issuing public insults via press conferences, Truth Social posts, and interviews persists into his second term, fueling trader sentiment in daily prediction markets tracking such events. In the past week, he demanded Jimmy Kimmel's firing over a late-night segment, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ" during a briefing, called a female reporter a "disgrace" and "wiseguy," and criticized Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tenure extension as a norm violation. Earlier April barbs targeted Pope Leo XIV and French President Macron's marriage. With frequent White House pressers and social media activity ahead, these catalysts highlight the low barriers to resolution on Yes outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions