US military strikes on January 3, 2026, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro without a formal congressional war declaration, prompting failed bipartisan efforts in Congress to invoke war powers resolutions and limit President Trump's executive actions. Senate votes in early January advanced but ultimately blocked restraints, while the House tied on a similar measure later that month. Tensions have since de-escalated with the March 2026 re-establishment of diplomatic and consular relations between the US and Venezuela's interim government, alongside sanctions relief and transition support, signaling trader consensus against further escalation. Historical precedent—no declarations since World War II—and normalization reduce declaration odds, though UN Security Council scrutiny and regional diplomacy remain watchpoints through mid-2026 deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,240,811 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
June 30, 2026
2%
$1,240,811 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$475,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on January 3, 2026, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro without a formal congressional war declaration, prompting failed bipartisan efforts in Congress to invoke war powers resolutions and limit President Trump's executive actions. Senate votes in early January advanced but ultimately blocked restraints, while the House tied on a similar measure later that month. Tensions have since de-escalated with the March 2026 re-establishment of diplomatic and consular relations between the US and Venezuela's interim government, alongside sanctions relief and transition support, signaling trader consensus against further escalation. Historical precedent—no declarations since World War II—and normalization reduce declaration odds, though UN Security Council scrutiny and regional diplomacy remain watchpoints through mid-2026 deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,240,811End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US military strikes on January 3, 2026, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro without a formal congressional war declaration, prompting failed bipartisan efforts in Congress to invoke war powers resolutions and limit President Trump's executive actions. Senate votes in early January advanced but ultimately blocked restraints, while the House tied on a similar measure later that month. Tensions have since de-escalated with the March 2026 re-establishment of diplomatic and consular relations between the US and Venezuela's interim government, alongside sanctions relief and transition support, signaling trader consensus against further escalation. Historical precedent—no declarations since World War II—and normalization reduce declaration odds, though UN Security Council scrutiny and regional diplomacy remain watchpoints through mid-2026 deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,240,811End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military strikes on January 3, 2026, captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro without a formal congressional war declaration, prompting failed bipartisan efforts in Congress to invoke war powers resolutions and limit President Trump's executive actions. Senate votes in early January advanced but ultimately blocked restraints, while the House tied on a similar measure later that month. Tensions have since de-escalated with the March 2026 re-establishment of diplomatic and consular relations between the US and Venezuela's interim government, alongside sanctions relief and transition support, signaling trader consensus against further escalation. Historical precedent—no declarations since World War II—and normalization reduce declaration odds, though UN Security Council scrutiny and regional diplomacy remain watchpoints through mid-2026 deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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