**US-Venezuela relations have normalized significantly since the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on longstanding narco-terrorism charges.** The Trump administration conducted targeted strikes and a special forces extraction under Operation Absolute Resolve without congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the United States was not at war with Venezuela. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government has since released political prisoners, reopened diplomatic channels, and agreed in March 2026 to restore full consular and embassy relations for the first time since 2019. Sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports were lifted, enabling new trade licenses and a reported $300 million initial revenue transfer under U.S.-controlled arrangements. As of mid-June 2026, the focus has shifted to a three-stage stabilization and economic recovery plan involving oil sector reforms and foreign investment, with no active combat or escalation signals. Formal declarations of war remain constitutionally rare and require congressional action, which has not occurred and faces legislative resistance, including proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act. Trader consensus on low probabilities for an official declaration by near-term resolution dates reflects this de-escalation trajectory, diplomatic momentum, and the absence of triggers that would necessitate full-scale congressional war authorization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4,151,789 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
June 30, 2026
<1%
$4,151,789 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$3,386,363 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.**US-Venezuela relations have normalized significantly since the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on longstanding narco-terrorism charges.** The Trump administration conducted targeted strikes and a special forces extraction under Operation Absolute Resolve without congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the United States was not at war with Venezuela. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government has since released political prisoners, reopened diplomatic channels, and agreed in March 2026 to restore full consular and embassy relations for the first time since 2019. Sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports were lifted, enabling new trade licenses and a reported $300 million initial revenue transfer under U.S.-controlled arrangements.
As of mid-June 2026, the focus has shifted to a three-stage stabilization and economic recovery plan involving oil sector reforms and foreign investment, with no active combat or escalation signals. Formal declarations of war remain constitutionally rare and require congressional action, which has not occurred and faces legislative resistance, including proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act. Trader consensus on low probabilities for an official declaration by near-term resolution dates reflects this de-escalation trajectory, diplomatic momentum, and the absence of triggers that would necessitate full-scale congressional war authorization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$4,151,789End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.**US-Venezuela relations have normalized significantly since the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on longstanding narco-terrorism charges.** The Trump administration conducted targeted strikes and a special forces extraction under Operation Absolute Resolve without congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the United States was not at war with Venezuela. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government has since released political prisoners, reopened diplomatic channels, and agreed in March 2026 to restore full consular and embassy relations for the first time since 2019. Sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports were lifted, enabling new trade licenses and a reported $300 million initial revenue transfer under U.S.-controlled arrangements.
As of mid-June 2026, the focus has shifted to a three-stage stabilization and economic recovery plan involving oil sector reforms and foreign investment, with no active combat or escalation signals. Formal declarations of war remain constitutionally rare and require congressional action, which has not occurred and faces legislative resistance, including proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act. Trader consensus on low probabilities for an official declaration by near-term resolution dates reflects this de-escalation trajectory, diplomatic momentum, and the absence of triggers that would necessitate full-scale congressional war authorization.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,151,789End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**US-Venezuela relations have normalized significantly since the January 2026 U.S. military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife on longstanding narco-terrorism charges.** The Trump administration conducted targeted strikes and a special forces extraction under Operation Absolute Resolve without congressional authorization for broader hostilities. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the United States was not at war with Venezuela. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government has since released political prisoners, reopened diplomatic channels, and agreed in March 2026 to restore full consular and embassy relations for the first time since 2019. Sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports were lifted, enabling new trade licenses and a reported $300 million initial revenue transfer under U.S.-controlled arrangements. As of mid-June 2026, the focus has shifted to a three-stage stabilization and economic recovery plan involving oil sector reforms and foreign investment, with no active combat or escalation signals. Formal declarations of war remain constitutionally rare and require congressional action, which has not occurred and faces legislative resistance, including proposals such as the No War with Venezuela Act. Trader consensus on low probabilities for an official declaration by near-term resolution dates reflects this de-escalation trajectory, diplomatic momentum, and the absence of triggers that would necessitate full-scale congressional war authorization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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