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What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Unchosen 81%

Man on Fire: Season 1 25%

Hulk Hogan: Real American 21%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Unchosen 81%

Man on Fire: Season 1 25%

Hulk Hogan: Real American 21%

Should I Marry A Murderer? 21%

Polymarket
NEW

Unchosen

$77 Vol.

67%

Man on Fire: Season 1

$20 Vol.

25%

Hulk Hogan: Real American

$428 Vol.

21%

Should I Marry A Murderer?

$20 Vol.

21%

Straight to Hell: Season 1

$428 Vol.

20%

Million Dollar Secret: Season 2

$429 Vol.

19%

BEEF: Season 2

$20 Vol.

19%

Running Point: Season 2

$71 Vol.

13%

Stranger Things: Tales From '85

$404 Vol.

4%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Unchosen at 67% implied probability for the #2 spot on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows this week, reflecting skepticism that listed contenders will hold amid intensifying competition from unlisted risers like WWE's Raw episodes and Hulk Hogan: Real American documentary. Current mid-week standings show Unchosen: Season 1 dominating #1 with 10.4 million views, Running Point: Season 2 at #2 (5.3 million, buoyed by Kate Hudson's star power since its April 23 drop), and BEEF: Season 2 close behind at #3 (4.1 million post-April 16 premiere). Fresh surges from yesterday's true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (20%) and today's action thriller Man on Fire: Season 1 (14.5%, Yahya Abdul-Mateen II-led) add volatility, as Netflix viewing patterns often spike dramatically in the final days before weekly tallies lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,898
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus heavily favors Unchosen at 67% implied probability for the #2 spot on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows this week, reflecting skepticism that listed contenders will hold amid intensifying competition from unlisted risers like WWE's Raw episodes and Hulk Hogan: Real American documentary. Current mid-week standings show Unchosen: Season 1 dominating #1 with 10.4 million views, Running Point: Season 2 at #2 (5.3 million, buoyed by Kate Hudson's star power since its April 23 drop), and BEEF: Season 2 close behind at #3 (4.1 million post-April 16 premiere). Fresh surges from yesterday's true-crime docuseries Should I Marry A Murderer? (20%) and today's action thriller Man on Fire: Season 1 (14.5%, Yahya Abdul-Mateen II-led) add volatility, as Netflix viewing patterns often spike dramatically in the final days before weekly tallies lock.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,898
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Unchosen" at 67%, followed by "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" is "Unchosen" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Man on Fire: Season 1" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.