The Trump administration's advanced negotiations with Spirit Airlines for a $500 million rescue package—potentially granting the U.S. government warrants for up to 90% equity upon bankruptcy exit—have driven trader consensus to a 61% implied probability of a stake by May 31. Surging jet fuel prices from Middle East tensions, exacerbated by Iran-related disruptions, have pushed the bankrupt carrier toward liquidation, prompting Spirit to propose the equity swap and securing backing from key creditor groups as recently as April 28. President Trump's public remarks on a taxpayer takeover with resale intent, alongside considerations of invoking the Defense Production Act, signal momentum despite some Republican congressional opposition. A binding agreement announcement would suffice for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$29,938 Vol.
$29,938 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$29,938 Vol.
$29,938 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's advanced negotiations with Spirit Airlines for a $500 million rescue package—potentially granting the U.S. government warrants for up to 90% equity upon bankruptcy exit—have driven trader consensus to a 61% implied probability of a stake by May 31. Surging jet fuel prices from Middle East tensions, exacerbated by Iran-related disruptions, have pushed the bankrupt carrier toward liquidation, prompting Spirit to propose the equity swap and securing backing from key creditor groups as recently as April 28. President Trump's public remarks on a taxpayer takeover with resale intent, alongside considerations of invoking the Defense Production Act, signal momentum despite some Republican congressional opposition. A binding agreement announcement would suffice for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$29,938End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration's advanced negotiations with Spirit Airlines for a $500 million rescue package—potentially granting the U.S. government warrants for up to 90% equity upon bankruptcy exit—have driven trader consensus to a 61% implied probability of a stake by May 31. Surging jet fuel prices from Middle East tensions, exacerbated by Iran-related disruptions, have pushed the bankrupt carrier toward liquidation, prompting Spirit to propose the equity swap and securing backing from key creditor groups as recently as April 28. President Trump's public remarks on a taxpayer takeover with resale intent, alongside considerations of invoking the Defense Production Act, signal momentum despite some Republican congressional opposition. A binding agreement announcement would suffice for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Spirit Airlines, or any of its parent or subsidiary companies, by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$29,938End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's advanced negotiations with Spirit Airlines for a $500 million rescue package—potentially granting the U.S. government warrants for up to 90% equity upon bankruptcy exit—have driven trader consensus to a 61% implied probability of a stake by May 31. Surging jet fuel prices from Middle East tensions, exacerbated by Iran-related disruptions, have pushed the bankrupt carrier toward liquidation, prompting Spirit to propose the equity swap and securing backing from key creditor groups as recently as April 28. President Trump's public remarks on a taxpayer takeover with resale intent, alongside considerations of invoking the Defense Production Act, signal momentum despite some Republican congressional opposition. A binding agreement announcement would suffice for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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