Legislation remains the primary barrier to placing President Trump on a new $250 bill in 2026. Current law prohibits portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, requiring Congress to amend the Federal Reserve Act via the introduced Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act. Treasury officials have prepared mockups and designs ahead of the semiquincentennial, yet the measure has advanced only to committee referral with no floor votes or passage as of early June. With limited legislative days remaining before year-end and competing priorities in a divided process, traders assign just an 8.5% chance of the required changes clearing both chambers and enabling production. No other executive or agency action can bypass this statutory hurdle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12,197 Vol.
$12,197 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$12,197 Vol.
$12,197 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation remains the primary barrier to placing President Trump on a new $250 bill in 2026. Current law prohibits portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, requiring Congress to amend the Federal Reserve Act via the introduced Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act. Treasury officials have prepared mockups and designs ahead of the semiquincentennial, yet the measure has advanced only to committee referral with no floor votes or passage as of early June. With limited legislative days remaining before year-end and competing priorities in a divided process, traders assign just an 8.5% chance of the required changes clearing both chambers and enabling production. No other executive or agency action can bypass this statutory hurdle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$12,197End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation remains the primary barrier to placing President Trump on a new $250 bill in 2026. Current law prohibits portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, requiring Congress to amend the Federal Reserve Act via the introduced Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act. Treasury officials have prepared mockups and designs ahead of the semiquincentennial, yet the measure has advanced only to committee referral with no floor votes or passage as of early June. With limited legislative days remaining before year-end and competing priorities in a divided process, traders assign just an 8.5% chance of the required changes clearing both chambers and enabling production. No other executive or agency action can bypass this statutory hurdle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,197End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislation remains the primary barrier to placing President Trump on a new $250 bill in 2026. Current law prohibits portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, requiring Congress to amend the Federal Reserve Act via the introduced Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act. Treasury officials have prepared mockups and designs ahead of the semiquincentennial, yet the measure has advanced only to committee referral with no floor votes or passage as of early June. With limited legislative days remaining before year-end and competing priorities in a divided process, traders assign just an 8.5% chance of the required changes clearing both chambers and enabling production. No other executive or agency action can bypass this statutory hurdle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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