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icon for Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

icon for Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

$28,996 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$28,996 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$28,996 Vol.

2%

May 31

$0 Vol.

36%

A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A U.S. appeals court on April 18 issued a stay permitting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—including underground security features—to resume pending a June 5 hearing, countering U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's prior injunctions citing lack of congressional approval. Following a late April shooting at a White House Correspondents' Association dinner, the administration and DOJ emphasized national security imperatives in court filings, prompting Senate Republicans like Rand Paul to introduce authorization bills amid Democratic opposition and ongoing suits from preservationists such as the National Trust for Historic Preservation. Bettors assess trader consensus amid procedural hurdles, with full resolution hinging on appellate outcome and potential legislative action.

A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.

A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.

If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,996
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A U.S. appeals court on April 18 issued a stay permitting construction of President Trump's $400 million White House East Wing ballroom—including underground security features—to resume pending a June 5 hearing, countering U.S. District Judge Richard Leon's prior injunctions citing lack of congressional approval. Following a late April shooting at a White House Correspondents' Association dinner, the administration and DOJ emphasized national security imperatives in court filings, prompting Senate Republicans like Rand Paul to introduce authorization bills amid Democratic opposition and ongoing suits from preservationists such as the National Trust for Historic Preservation. Bettors assess trader consensus amid procedural hurdles, with full resolution hinging on appellate outcome and potential legislative action.

A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.

A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.

If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,996
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 31" at 36%, followed by "April 30" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?" is "May 31" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.