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icon for Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

icon for Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

Jun 30

Jun 30

1.5-2" 49%

>3" 44%

1-1.5" 43%

2-2.5" 27%

Polymarket
NEW

1.5-2" 49%

>3" 44%

1-1.5" 43%

2-2.5" 27%

Polymarket
NEW

1.5-2"

$81 Vol.

26%

>3"

$59 Vol.

26%

1-1.5"

$246 Vol.

32%

2-2.5"

$55 Vol.

39%

2.5-3"

$54 Vol.

26%

<0.5"

$399 Vol.

15%

0.5-1"

$2,651 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,544
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,544
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitation in Seattle in June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2-2.5"" at 39%, followed by "1-1.5"" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Precipitation in Seattle in June?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Precipitation in Seattle in June?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in Seattle in June?" is "2-2.5"" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1-1.5"" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitation in Seattle in June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.