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Precipitation in London in June?

icon for Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

Jun 30

Jun 30

30-40mm 31%

70-80mm 29%

50-60mm 28%

40-50mm 28%

Polymarket
NEW

30-40mm 31%

70-80mm 29%

50-60mm 28%

40-50mm 28%

Polymarket
NEW

<30mm

$478 Vol.

16%

30-40mm

$41 Vol.

31%

40-50mm

$30 Vol.

28%

50-60mm

$30 Vol.

28%

60-70mm

$50 Vol.

26%

70-80mm

$56 Vol.

29%

80mm+

$51 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around mid-range totals for London’s June rainfall because the month has only just begun, leaving cumulative precipitation highly sensitive to evolving Atlantic weather patterns with no dominant signal established yet. Historical data show average June rainfall near 50 mm, driven by frequent low-pressure systems, yet the North Atlantic Oscillation and jet-stream position can readily shift monthly totals by 20–30 mm. Current Met Office seasonal guidance points to near-average precipitation overall, with moderate rain risk persisting through mid- and late-month periods, while model spreads remain wide. New daily forecasts and updated ensemble runs will likely refine probabilities as the first significant weather systems develop.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$737
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters around mid-range totals for London’s June rainfall because the month has only just begun, leaving cumulative precipitation highly sensitive to evolving Atlantic weather patterns with no dominant signal established yet. Historical data show average June rainfall near 50 mm, driven by frequent low-pressure systems, yet the North Atlantic Oscillation and jet-stream position can readily shift monthly totals by 20–30 mm. Current Met Office seasonal guidance points to near-average precipitation overall, with moderate rain risk persisting through mid- and late-month periods, while model spreads remain wide. New daily forecasts and updated ensemble runs will likely refine probabilities as the first significant weather systems develop.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$737
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Precipitation in London in June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30-40mm" at 31%, followed by "40-50mm" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Precipitation in London in June?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Precipitation in London in June?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Precipitation in London in June?" is "30-40mm" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-50mm" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Precipitation in London in June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.