Following Peru's chaotic first-round presidential vote on April 12-13, Keiko Fujimori secured top spot with around 17% amid slow ballot counts, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who edged Rafael López Aliaga for second at roughly 12%. Trader consensus prices Fujimori as heavy favorite at 64.5% implied probability to win overall, driven by her dominance in populous Lima (nearly 50% support) and expatriate votes, plus Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and her history of narrow runoff performances. A fresh April 26 Ipsos poll shows them deadlocked at 38% each, but markets reflect skepticism on Sánchez's interior gains amid lingering fallout from prior leftist instability under Pedro Castillo. Regional splits and endorsements could tip the balance before the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Presidential Election Winner
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.5%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.1%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,782,668 Vol.
$48,782,668 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.5%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.1%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,782,668 Vol.
$48,782,668 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
32%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Peru's chaotic first-round presidential vote on April 12-13, Keiko Fujimori secured top spot with around 17% amid slow ballot counts, advancing to the June 7 runoff against leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who edged Rafael López Aliaga for second at roughly 12%. Trader consensus prices Fujimori as heavy favorite at 64.5% implied probability to win overall, driven by her dominance in populous Lima (nearly 50% support) and expatriate votes, plus Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and her history of narrow runoff performances. A fresh April 26 Ipsos poll shows them deadlocked at 38% each, but markets reflect skepticism on Sánchez's interior gains amid lingering fallout from prior leftist instability under Pedro Castillo. Regional splits and endorsements could tip the balance before the runoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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