Trader consensus favors N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas at 54% implied probability to win Oklahoma’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 16, reflecting her strong grassroots appeal as a nurse, military spouse, and advocate for healthcare and family support, bolstered by endorsements like Organizing Okies and robust social media engagement on platforms like Facebook (over 22,000 likes) and Threads. Jim Priest trails at 29% despite raising over $200,000—far exceeding Thomas’s $39,000—thanks to his background as a civil rights attorney, minister, and nonprofit CEO, including a recent April 30 speech to Washington County Democrats. Troy Green (13%) leverages his recent Oklahoma City University graduate status and foster care story, while Rebekah LaVann (2.4%) lags with minimal visibility. Absent polls, odds hinge on fundraising disparities, online momentum, and candidate profiles in this low-turnout primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedN’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 57%
Jim Priest 29%
Troy Green 13%
Rebekah LaVann 2.4%
$12,585 Vol.
$12,585 Vol.
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas
52%
Jim Priest
29%
Troy Green
13%
Rebekah LaVann
2%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 57%
Jim Priest 29%
Troy Green 13%
Rebekah LaVann 2.4%
$12,585 Vol.
$12,585 Vol.
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas
52%
Jim Priest
29%
Troy Green
13%
Rebekah LaVann
2%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas at 54% implied probability to win Oklahoma’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 16, reflecting her strong grassroots appeal as a nurse, military spouse, and advocate for healthcare and family support, bolstered by endorsements like Organizing Okies and robust social media engagement on platforms like Facebook (over 22,000 likes) and Threads. Jim Priest trails at 29% despite raising over $200,000—far exceeding Thomas’s $39,000—thanks to his background as a civil rights attorney, minister, and nonprofit CEO, including a recent April 30 speech to Washington County Democrats. Troy Green (13%) leverages his recent Oklahoma City University graduate status and foster care story, while Rebekah LaVann (2.4%) lags with minimal visibility. Absent polls, odds hinge on fundraising disparities, online momentum, and candidate profiles in this low-turnout primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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