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Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Brian Poindexter 91%

Ed FitzGerald 6.2%

Scott Schulz 2.1%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 1.4%

Polymarket

$14,002 Vol.

Brian Poindexter 91%

Ed FitzGerald 6.2%

Scott Schulz 2.1%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 1.4%

Polymarket

$14,002 Vol.

Brian Poindexter

$5,816 Vol.

91%

Ed FitzGerald

$1,239 Vol.

6%

Scott Schulz

$1,487 Vol.

2%

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$870 Vol.

1%

John Butchko

$1,016 Vol.

1%

Ann Marie Donegan

$1,057 Vol.

<1%

Michael Eisner

$1,278 Vol.

<1%

Keith Mundy

$1,240 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brian Poindexter commands 91.5% trader consensus in the OH-07 Democratic primary due to recent high-profile endorsements from the Working Families Party and labor groups like North Shore AFL-CIO, coupled with over $900,000 in independent expenditures from Jobs And Democracy PAC in the past week boosting his visibility in this crowded eight-candidate field challenging GOP incumbent Max Miller. His profile as a union ironworker and local councilman has consolidated progressive and working-class support ahead of the May 5 primary. A Republican super PAC linked to Miller's family is meddling to influence the nominee, potentially backfiring. Late surges by ex-county executive Ed FitzGerald via higher turnout or scandals could disrupt, but Poindexter's momentum makes upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,002
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brian Poindexter commands 91.5% trader consensus in the OH-07 Democratic primary due to recent high-profile endorsements from the Working Families Party and labor groups like North Shore AFL-CIO, coupled with over $900,000 in independent expenditures from Jobs And Democracy PAC in the past week boosting his visibility in this crowded eight-candidate field challenging GOP incumbent Max Miller. His profile as a union ironworker and local councilman has consolidated progressive and working-class support ahead of the May 5 primary. A Republican super PAC linked to Miller's family is meddling to influence the nominee, potentially backfiring. Late surges by ex-county executive Ed FitzGerald via higher turnout or scandals could disrupt, but Poindexter's momentum makes upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,002
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brian Poindexter" at 91%, followed by "Ed FitzGerald" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Brian Poindexter" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed FitzGerald" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.