President Denis Sassou Nguesso's landslide re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.9% of the vote—upheld by the constitutional court on March 28 and followed by his April 17 inauguration—has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% against him leaving office by year-end, extending his nearly four-decade rule into a fifth term through 2031. Opposition boycotts and jailed rivals fragmented challenges, while pre-election constitutional changes enabled his candidacy despite advanced age concerns. Absent health crises, coups, or institutional upheavals, his entrenched control over the Congolese Labour Party and security apparatus underpins the high "No" probability, though traders price in tail risks from his 83 years. No post-inauguration developments signal exit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
$11,505 Vol.
$11,505 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,505 Vol.
$11,505 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso's landslide re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.9% of the vote—upheld by the constitutional court on March 28 and followed by his April 17 inauguration—has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% against him leaving office by year-end, extending his nearly four-decade rule into a fifth term through 2031. Opposition boycotts and jailed rivals fragmented challenges, while pre-election constitutional changes enabled his candidacy despite advanced age concerns. Absent health crises, coups, or institutional upheavals, his entrenched control over the Congolese Labour Party and security apparatus underpins the high "No" probability, though traders price in tail risks from his 83 years. No post-inauguration developments signal exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$11,505End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Denis Sassou Nguesso's landslide re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.9% of the vote—upheld by the constitutional court on March 28 and followed by his April 17 inauguration—has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% against him leaving office by year-end, extending his nearly four-decade rule into a fifth term through 2031. Opposition boycotts and jailed rivals fragmented challenges, while pre-election constitutional changes enabled his candidacy despite advanced age concerns. Absent health crises, coups, or institutional upheavals, his entrenched control over the Congolese Labour Party and security apparatus underpins the high "No" probability, though traders price in tail risks from his 83 years. No post-inauguration developments signal exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Denis Sassou Nguesso ceases to be President of the Republic of the Congo for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Denis Sassou Nguesso's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Denis Sassou Nguesso and the government of the Republic of the Congo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,505End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Denis Sassou Nguesso's landslide re-election on March 15, 2026, with 94.9% of the vote—upheld by the constitutional court on March 28 and followed by his April 17 inauguration—has solidified trader consensus at 86.5% against him leaving office by year-end, extending his nearly four-decade rule into a fifth term through 2031. Opposition boycotts and jailed rivals fragmented challenges, while pre-election constitutional changes enabled his candidacy despite advanced age concerns. Absent health crises, coups, or institutional upheavals, his entrenched control over the Congolese Labour Party and security apparatus underpins the high "No" probability, though traders price in tail risks from his 83 years. No post-inauguration developments signal exit.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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